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The Private Equity for Families Blog

Insight for those interested in private equity or direct investment in privately-held businesses. The opinions expressed in the PE4Fams blog are those of Rob McCreary and not necessarily those of CW Industrial Partners or its employees.

Sailing Against the Tide

I have been monitoring many of the favorite investment names in the U.S. stock market like Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Progressive (NYSE: PGR), Facebook (NASDAQ: META) and Alphabet/Google (NASDAQ: GOOG). After a significant downturn in 2021 these stocks and many others have rebounded and, in many cases, have exceeded

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Gold, Bitcoin and Uncertain Futures

Many of our blog readers have asked about Bitcoin (Ticker: BTC). This corresponds to the development of multiple ETF’s earlier this year, the halving of the reward paid to Bitcoin miners in April and Jamie Dimon rendering his annual opinion that Bitcoin is a “fraud”. Background On Bitcoin Here

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Food Inflation May Be Much Worse Than Reported

I have always loved Triscuits and peanut butter. It was a staple of the McCreary family diet for more than 20 years.  As time passes, I have noticed less salt, less fat, and less taste in modern day Triscuits but most of all I think the volume of Triscuits

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Yearning For The Magic Prosperity Machine

In the 1980’s, against the backdrop of 18% interest rates, politicians and the financiers each staked out their turf. The financiers ceded the power to legislate, tax and create entitlement programs to the politicians and the politicians let the financiers run a legal monopoly known as the stock and

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New Tools of Your Trade

A career in financial services has been a wonderful place to be for the last 40 years. Powerful macrotrends like 40 years of falling interest rates, Moore’s law with the doubling of computing power every several years, the emergence of a sophisticated credit economy, a plethora of worldwide investable

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FOMO, Regret, and Missing the Party of the Year

As we start a new investment year and take inventory of bad habits to avoid and good ones to enhance, I come back to some value investing principles foremost of which is first do no harm or spoken in investment language, avoid losses. However, had you burrowed into your

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Bank Credit Faces the Mother of All Maturities

Over the last 50 years I have observed many changes to how credit is created and financed. For the longest time banks were the only providers of credit and each bank set its own prime rate as the baseline for the interest rate the best borrowers could obtain. If

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What You Know May Not Matter Anymore?

As a recent user of ChatGPT I was not aware my version 3.5 which is free is much less powerful than version 4.0 which costs $20/month. So, I bought the upgrade and put it to a test. I have been slightly disappointed with Chat’s ability to search data and

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Lingers Longer And Stickier Than Bubblegum

Can you recall your first experience with bubblegum in your hair? It was stickier than you thought and your attempts to eradicate it only spread it more? More painful, however, was you looked like a dork for two weeks after your mother cut out patches of your hair. Inflation

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Can Investors Reliably Assess Risk?

Howard Marks, the founder of Oaktree Capital, is a prolific communicator. He has written letters to his investors since he began managing capital in the mid- 1980’s. While he started with a very stable asset class – corporate bonds – over time he moved into a much riskier neighborhood

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Dollar Dominance Has Many Foes

Depending on whom you ask you will get a different perspective about having the U.S. Dollar as the reserve currency for the world and the medium of exchange for oil and other essential commodities. If you live in Turkey, Venezuela, or Argentina, and have persistent, high double-digit inflation, holding

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Tips Are Now A Compensation Strategy

One of the smartest investors I know taught me “you don’t bank percentages” so even if your bonus is ten percent, if it is applied to below market base pay you likely would be earning less than someone who got 5 % bonus on a higher base. In addition,

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American Vacation Has Limited Choices

Chevy Chase immortalized the American vacation with the Griswold family’s cross-country journey to Wally World.  That was the travel scene in the 1980s before Covid-19, inflation, forest fires, thermal inversions, flash floods, passport processing snafus, sold out National Parks, double digit lodging taxes, shortages of hospitality workers, road construction

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Cash Flow Is Suddenly Out of Favor

When I was first introduced to the stock market by my aunt, a securities analyst for a leading regional securities firm, her formula for success was picking companies that were growing revenues fast and also paying dividends. In the 1960’s the so-called “Nifty Fifty” had many of those attributes

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Modelo in the Metaverse

This Monday I was anxious to scour the news for one of the greatest emerging conflicts of my lifetime. I raced right past the war in Ukraine, tensions in the South China Sea, the Wagner Group’s march to Moscow and China’s burgeoning spy base in Cuba. The real news

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Copper May Be The New “Rare Earth”

I attended my 50th college reunion earlier this month and had the good fortune of listening to a dozen subject matter presentations by reunion alums from class years ending in “3” or “8”. I was really interested in a presentation by several of my class members and a gentleman

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Are Zombie Companies At Risk?

I am always keeping an eye on a backwater of the U.S. financial system called Zombie Companies. There is a general consensus that “Zombies” are businesses that do not have the cash flow to service the interest on their debt. For example, the biggest zombies in the world right

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Is It Real or Is It Ai Me?

As digital technology began to emerge in the early 1970’s Memorex entered the consumer media market with a series of legendary TV commercials featuring Ella Fitzgerald. In those commercials, she would sing a note that shattered a glass while being recorded to a Memorex cassette. The tape was played

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The Hand You Hold May Be The Hand You Play

Several years ago, I was engrossed in a series of investment insights from Ray Dalio’s book “Principles For Dealing With A Changing World Order.” Mr. Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates said to be the largest hedge fund in the world. In a series of monthly chapter releases,

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Small Bank Deposit Woes Continue

I have been a customer of Key Bank and JP Morgan Chase for a long time and have never had a savings account with either institution. The rates were never compelling and there were always restrictions or disincentives related to withdrawals. Like many of our readers, money market products

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This blog represents the views of Rob McCreary and do not reflect those of CW Industrial Partners or its employees. This blog is not intended as investment advice. Any discussion of a specific security is for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as indicative of such security’s current or future value. Readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making an investment decision.